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Spiraldates.com spiral calendar scores for May 2012 show a total of five sharp peaks on the 6th, 10th, 14th, 23rd and 27th. Note that peaks in the score are supposedly more likely turn dates (highs OR lows) in the market.


Scores for April 2012 showed show a broad peak from the 5th-8th, missing the actual low on the 10th, and multiple higher sharper peaks on the 17th, 22nd-23rd, and 26th with the jury still out on the latter.


Explanation for new visitors: See June 2010 Post.

[Posted late, on April 7th] I had not planned to continue these posts but there have been several requests to continue, so I am posting the April chart.


Spiraldates.com spiral calendar scores for April 2012 show a broad peak from the 5th-8th (i.e. now – possible low?), and multiple higher sharper peaks on the 17th, 22nd-23rd, and 26th. Note that peaks in the score are supposedly more likely turn dates (highs OR lows) in the market.


Scores for March 2012 showed three peaks around the 2nd-4th, 10th-12th, and 22nd-24th and we saw lows on the 6th, 23rd, and 29th, and highs on the 19th and 27th. So one hit out of three, although March 2nd would have traded well as a high, even though it was slightly lower than the actual high on Feb 29th.


Explanation for new visitors: See June 2010 Post.

I hesitate to post this on April 1st, because I expect people will take it as a joke, however I’ve recently come to the conclusion that spiral calendar clusters are no more likely to match market highs or lows than dates chosen at random. As evidence I have added some statistics to the chart showing the percentage of spiral clusters that match a high or low, either to the day, or on the second line, within 1 day plus or minus. I also show for any date within the window chosen at random, the chance of that date being a high or low. For the approximately 24 year period shown, spiral clusters in the S&P 500 are almost exactly as good as dates chosen at random at predicting highs and lows. Any visual evidence of frequent matches, such as I posted in the Citigroup chart can be attributed to chance, since smaller samples may appear to do better without being statistically significant.

The number of spiral calendar clusters we would expect to match highs or lows probably should be treated as a Bernoulli process statistically, although I am not certain about the assumption of independent trials. The chance number quoted in the chart is just the chance of a single trial, or single date chosen at random, being a high or low.

Spiral Calendar Alignment Hit Probability For S&P 500, 1988-2012 – click chart to enlarge.

The chart may be distributed according to the Creative Commons by attribution commercial license 3.0 provided the Spiraldates.com legend is retained in its original form and/or the entire chart is a link to Spiraldates.com.

Today’s spiral calendar chart shows several upcoming alignment clusters for Citigroup – (C) March 29th, 2012.
The first is on Monday, then Wednesday and Thursday, and also the following Monday.
The chart is also notable because of the precision with which some of the intermediate highs and lows have been picked out by the past spiral clusters.

Spiral Calendar Alignments For Citigroup – (C) March 29th, 2012 – click chart to enlarge.

The chart may be distributed according to the Creative Commons by attribution commercial license 3.0 provided the Spiraldates.com legend is retained in its original form and/or the entire chart is a link to Spiraldates.com.

Today’s spiral calendar chart shows clusters yesterday and today for Exxon Mobil – XOM March 28th, 2012.
At the 2008 oil price peak, Exxon rolled over and started declining nearly two months before oil did.

Spiral Calendar Alignments For Exxon Mobil – XOM March 28th, 2012 – click chart to enlarge.

The chart may be distributed according to the Creative Commons by attribution commercial license 3.0 provided the Spiraldates.com legend is retained in its original form and/or the entire chart is a link to Spiraldates.com.

Today’s spiral calendar chart shows a cluster for IBM – March 27th, 2012.
I have fond memories of IBM as they were my first employer. Which decade? I’m not telling but it involved punched cards.
The advance looks like it may have reached a short term top, but still doesn’t look like a clean five waves from the January 13th low, more like the first three of five.

Spiral Calendar Alignments For IBM – March 27th, 2012 – click chart to enlarge.

The chart may be distributed according to the Creative Commons by attribution commercial license 3.0 provided the Spiraldates.com legend is retained in its original form and/or the entire chart is a link to Spiraldates.com.

Today’s spiral calendar chart shows a cluster for TLT – iShares Barclays 20+ Yr Treas.Bond (ETF).
The chart may be distributed according to the Creative Commons by attribution commercial license 3.0 provided the Spiraldates.com legend is retained in its original form and/or the entire chart is a link to Spiraldates.com.

Spiral Calendar Alignments For TLT – iShares Barclays 20+ Yr Treas.Bond (ETF) March 26th, 2012 – click chart to enlarge.

Here is the first post with a new spiral calendar chart I have developed that displays all spirals ending in the current visible date range, but only highlights those dates that have clusters of 4 or more spirals aligned on them (the red and green vertical bars). As you can see the red and green bars appear uncannily near significant market turns in this chart. I recommend clicking on the chart to get an enlarged view. The color red or green and the position above or below the chart is chosen based on whether the close on the bar day is above or below its 7-day simple moving average. Spiral alignment clusters are also plotted 20 days into the future, with Mondays marked by the black tick marks. So the next cluster of 4 or more spirals aligned is not due until Wednesday April 4th, with additional clusters near tax day (April 15th for non-US readers).
The chart may be distributed according to the Creative Commons by attribution commercial license 3.0 provided the Spiraldates.com legend is retained in its original form and/or the entire chart is a link to Spiraldates.com.

Spiral Calendar Alignments For S&P 500 March 23rd, 2012 – click chart to enlarge.

Apple Computer has many spiral calendar alignments today Thursday March 15th 2012. F1, F4, F5, F7, and F9 are clear alignments as shown in the chart. Also Apple traded at $600.01 for a short time and then retreated closing down for the day. This is reminiscent of YAHOO’s all time high on the first trading day of January 2000, when it traded at $500 in nominal terms (has split since) for a bit and has been all downhill from there. Will Apple follow suit and make a bellwether turn lower? The entire market is ripe for a decline with an ever fuller Elliott Wave count.

Spiral Calendar Alignments For Apple Computer (AAPL) March 15th, 2012 – click chart to enlarge.

Spiraldates.com spiral calendar scores for March 2012 show three peaks around the 2nd-4th, 10th-12th, and 22nd-24th (coinciding with the new moon on the 22nd) marking likely turn dates (highs OR lows).


In February the market continued its steady uptrend in defiance of calls for a top so there were no turns matching predictions.


Explanation for new visitors: See June 2010 Post.