August 2011 Spiral Dates Scores Chart

Posted: under Misc/Admin, Predictions, Spiraldate Score Charts, Stocks.

Spiral Calendar Daily Scores For US Stocks For August 2011

August 2011 spiral calendar clusters for US stocks occur in three major peaks on August 6th, August 15th-16th and August 27th. The 6th and 27th are Saturdays.

Predictions for July 2011 were for a turns early in the month on the 3rd and 6th. We got a top on the 7th. Also July 1st which was the nearest trading day to the 3rd and was the top of a strong wave 3 of the move that topped on the 7th.

Explanation for new visitors: See June 2010 Post.

Comments (11) Jul 25 2011

The First Cracks In The Dam

Posted: under Commodities, Forex, Misc/Admin, Stocks.
Tags: , , , , ,

The first cracks in the dam may be appearing in the form of the October 15th low in the US Dollar which shows the weakness that has buoyed US Dollar denominated asset prices may be over. We have tops – at least for now – in the most speculative areas, gold and silver and also AAPL Apple Computer in the stock market. If the dollar continues its rally, the major indices may last through the election before following suit.

I recommend clicking on each chart to see the enlarged version as browsers tend to do awful things to shrunken images, such as remove price bars entirely.

UUP – US Dollar

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For UUP - US Dollar for October 22nd, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For UUP – US Dollar for October 22nd, 2010 – click to enlarge

Gold – GLD

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Gold (GLD) for October 22nd, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Gold (GLD) for October 22nd, 2010 – click to enlarge

Apple Computer AAPL

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Apple Computer AAPL for October 22nd, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Apple Computer AAPL for October 22nd, 2010 – click to enlarge

Dow

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For DJIA for October 22nd, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Dow Jones Industrial Average for October 22nd, 2010 – click to enlarge

S&P 500

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For S&P 500 for October 22nd, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For S&P 500 for October 22nd, 2010 – click to enlarge

Nasdaq-100

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Nasdaq-100 for October 22nd, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Nasdaq-100 for October 22nd, 2010 – click to enlarge

New visitors: please see this post for a brief explanation of the spiral calendar.

Comments (0) Oct 23 2010

The Bull Stops Here

Posted: under Misc/Admin, Predictions, Stocks.

There is so much going on this weekend with the spiral calendar that I have to resort to 3 different timeframes for the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq-100 charts which are drawn for long, medium, and short term spirals respectively. I think this weekend is the prime candidate for the top from the late August low. We have had a bull move that seems as if it will go up forever, now with such wildly bullish sentiment, that on Friday, worse than expected employment numbers, indicating a floundering economy, are bullish for the market because more quantitative easing (pushing on the rope) is expected. We also have major long term spiral calendar alignments with the 12/9/1974 low (the bottom of the 1973-1974 bear market) and the 8/9/1982 low that marked the start of the huge secular bull market into the 2000 or 2007 top depending on how the waves are counted.

I’ve included a chart of Yahoo this week to illustrate the alignment now with the top of the dot com bubble. I was swing-trading Yahoo amongst other stocks on January 3rd, 2000 and the price climbed up to $500 exactly, made a few trades, and then fell back, later splitting twice, so the equivalent intraday high would be $125. That was the high point of the dot com bubble, although the broad market went up for 3 more months before also topping on March 24th, 2000. And no, I was not one of the few who bought Yahoo at $500/share!

Many other spirals align here or near here, although they are a bit spread out over about a 10-day period surrounding this weekend. I don’t rule out higher prices into the spiral alignment at the end of next week, since both Gold and The US Dollar look like they need a few more days before alignments, but I think the chances are higher for a top now – hence the headline.

I recommend clicking on each chart to see the enlarged version as browsers tend to do awful things to shrunken images, such as remove price bars entirely.

Dow

This long term chart shows the F27 and F26 alignments with the major lows of December 1974 and August 1982, as well as F22 with the January 2000 Dot Com Bubble top and F17 with the last top prior to the October 11th, 2007 all time high. See the Yahoo chart at the end of the post for a more precise example of the F22 alignment.

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For DJIA for October 8th, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Dow Jones Industrial Average for October 8th, 2010 – click to enlarge

S&P 500

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For S&P 500 for October 8th, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For S&P 500 for October 8th, 2010 – click to enlarge

Nasdaq-100

Update 9/18/2010: the original ^NDX chart linked to the previous week’s enlarged version – this has been corrected.

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Nasdaq-100 for October 8th, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Nasdaq-100 for October 8th, 2010 – click to enlarge

UUP – US Dollar

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For UUP - US Dollar for October 8th, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For UUP – US Dollar for October 8th, 2010 – click to enlarge

Gold – GLD

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Gold (GLD) for October 8th, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Gold (GLD) for October 8th, 2010 – click to enlarge

Yahoo (YHOO)

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Yahoo YHOO for October 8th, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Yahoo YHOO for October 8th, 2010 – click to enlarge

New visitors: please see this post for a brief explanation of the spiral calendar.

Comments (0) Oct 09 2010

Oil Update September 17th, 2010

Posted: under Commodities, Misc/Admin, Past Market Analysis, Predictions.
Tags:

Our last oil post showed a turn date for Sept. 13th which turned out to mark a turn lower. In fact the oil price could easily break down from here and lead other markets lower as economic weakness and deflation start to gain hold. There are no further turn dates showing for the next 10 trading days. I have chosen spiral grids running forwards from the February 19th, 2009 low (red grid) and the subsequent low on April 21st, 2009 (blue grid). As you can see the recent turn lower is aligned F14 – 2 days from the February 19, 2009 low.

Oil – USO – Spiral Calendar Chart Sept 17th 2010

Oil - USO - Sept 13th Turn Is Spiral Calendar F14 From The February 2009 Low

Oil – USO – Sept 13th Turn Is Spiral Calendar F14 From The February 2009 Low – click to enlarge

Comments (0) Sep 18 2010

Spiral Calendar Stock Charts For September 3rd, 2010

Posted: under Commodities, Misc/Admin, Predictions, Stocks.
Tags:

As usual, the market is smarter than almost everyone and especially smarter than me! I was convinced until Wednesday morning that we were going lower, but the seasonals won out and we are having another sharp rally to shake out the bears before the big decline. There are turn dates aligning now in all the charts so we could be close to a high at Friday’s close. Whether any such high if it develops is a wave A of something implying plenty more sideways to up price action before a tradeable top or a wave C of something implying lower prices immediately ahead is open to debate.

The blue vertical lines show a spiral calendar grid aligned running forwards from the April 26th, 2010 high. Blue F8 falls on Sept 8th which is shown on the chart as Sept 6th, which would be the first trading day next week except the US markets are closed for the Labor Day holiday. Weekends and holidays are accounted for in the horizontal chart scale over the entire year but the vertical spiral lines can be off up to 2 days due to weekends and holidays in circumstances like this weekend. This week the red vertical lines show a spiral calendar grid running forward from the high immediately after the Flash Crash on May 13th, 2010. Red F5, F6, and F7, and maybe also F4 are good alignments.

I am including a Gold chart this week both to illustrate some previous spiral alignments, but also because it has potential turn dates immediately ahead. See the comments just above the chart.

I recommend clicking on each chart to see the enlarged version as browsers tend to do awful things to shrunken images, such as remove price bars entirely.

Dow

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For DJIA for September 3rd, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Dow Jones Industrial Average for September 3rd, 2010 – click to enlarge

S&P 500

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For S&P 500 for September 3rd, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For S&P 500 for September 3rd, 2010 – click to enlarge

Nasdaq-100

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Nasdaq-100 for September 3rd, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Nasdaq-100 for September 3rd, 2010 – click to enlarge

Gold – GLD

Gold has 3 possible turn dates in a row next week and into the following week. These are indicated by the small red bars to the right of the price chart that show possible turns over the next 10 trading days. I also show two individual spiral grids – the red one below the prices originates on the February 5th, 2010 low and shows good alignments for at least F5 through F9 and has F10 coming up on Sept 12th, which is the major potential turn date for stocks also. The blue grid is drawn forward starting from the June 28th high. It has one major alignment so far at F1. Blue F6 is also coming up but not until Sept 20th.

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Gold (GLD) for September 3rd, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Gold (GLD) for September 3rd, 2010 – click to enlarge

New visitors: please see this post for a brief explanation of the spiral calendar.

Comments (1) Sep 03 2010

Real or Random?

Posted: under Misc/Admin, Stocks.

Real or Random Market Data

Are the markets unpredictable random walks or are they non-random and predictable? Every market technician believes they are non-random and predictable. One chart is real data and the other is random – but can you tell the difference without being told?

Check out the ARORA site (requires java) to test yourself by clicking on the chart.

Comments (0) Feb 27 2010

First Chance At A Top This Month

Posted: under Misc/Admin, Predictions, Stocks.
Tags:

Here are charts for the first spiral cluster this month from June 3rd to 8th with the alignment set exact on June 3rd, which is when the largest f20 spiral aligns with the Oct 10th, 2002 dot com bust bear market low. As you can see almost all even spirals and one odd one f13 line up with lows: f20, f18, f14, f12, f10, f8, f6 and some odd short term spirals align with tops: f5, f1. Given the rally, this could mark a top at least in NDX over the next few days, June 3rd-8th.

Short term Spiral Calendar alignments running backwards from June 3rd, 2009

Long term Spiral Calendar alignments running backwards from June 3rd, 2009

Comments (0) Jun 02 2009

Spiral Calendar Updates Now Available on Twitter

Posted: under Misc/Admin.

I have integrated spiraldates.com with the twitter account spiraldates so every post including this first test post should appear as a tweet.

Comments (0) May 31 2009

Prediction Is Very Difficult, Especially About The Future – Niels Bohr

Posted: under Misc/Admin, Predictions, Stocks.
Tags:

Predicting the future, we are told, is hard, so how have I done in the six months I have been writing this blog? The chart summarizes each stock market prediction, except a couple of ambivalent posts I have omitted for clarity.

Prediction track record Nov 2008 - May 2009

Prediction track record Nov 2008 – May 2009 – Click To Enlarge”

Comments (1) May 12 2009

Feb 18 Turning Point?

Posted: under Misc/Admin, Predictions, Stocks.

There are a lot of spirals that are near alignments today Feb 18th with several of the major turning points in the bear market, although some will be even better alignments tomorrow Thursday or Friday. If we turn higher from here that means the decline from Jan 6th would have been a wave 2 or B rather than the beginning of wave 5 down to new lows. I still prefer the latter wave count and expect new lows, but it may be worth tightening the stops a little.
Spirals For S&P500, Feb 18th, 2009 - Click To Enlarge

Spirals For S&P500, Feb 18th, 2009 – Click Chart To Enlarge

Comments (0) Feb 18 2009