Spiral Calendar Updates Now Available on Twitter

Posted: under Misc/Admin.

I have integrated spiraldates.com with the twitter account spiraldates so every post including this first test post should appear as a tweet.

Comments (0) May 31 2009

June And July Spirals For Stocks

Posted: under Predictions, Stocks.

There are several spiral clusters in June: a broad group of six spirals, one per day from the 3rd to the 8th, another four spirals from the 10th to the 12th, three split over the 23rd and 24th, and a large group of 5 spirals on June 27th and 28th.

The Elliott Wave count seems to be in a trading range B wave correcting the rally off the March 6th low. I expect the market to decline a little from here extending the trading range to the downside rather than a plunge, and I would be looking for a bottom if we have any kind of relatively sharp decline into any one of the above spiral cluster dates.

July has two clusters, a group of 4 spirals from the 10th to the 12th, one lunation after the similar group in June, and a group of 3 spirals on the 19th. There are also pairs of spirals on each of the 15th, 26th and 31st and an intriguing f33 alignment for July from the Nov 1857 panic low, although I don’t have the exact date.

Comments (0) May 30 2009

NDX Alignments Indicate A Top

Posted: under Predictions, Stocks.
Tags: ,

The NDX chart is showing spiral alignments today – f6, f7, f12, and f14. Also f20 from the Oct 10, 2002 bottom of the Dot Com Bust bear market aligns with June 3rd, 2009. I think we are topping in wave b of B of the upward correction off the March 6th low. So b wave of a B wave, about as sleepy as it gets. We might chop lower here for a couple of weeks/months but when B ends and C begins, we should get another big rally comparable to or bigger than the A wave off the March 6th low. Problem is it will be hard to tell the difference between the start of C and the start of another 3 wave component of wave B. Technicals comparable to early March might be the clue.

NDX Long Term Spiral Alignments 5/27/09

NDX Long Term Spiral Alignments 5/27/09 – Click To Enlarge”

NDX Short Term Spiral Alignments 5/27/09

NDX Short Term Spiral Alignments 5/27/09 – Click To Enlarge”

Comments (0) May 27 2009

More Oil Alignments

Posted: under Commodities, Predictions.
Tags:

Oil is showing another set of alignments half a lunation after the last one with several past highs/lows/spikes f9, f10, f11, and f12 and may be topping here. The previous alignment likely was wave 3 of C of the upward correction and this alignment would mark 5 of C. The rally off the low can be counted as a complete three waves.

More Oil Alignments 5/27/09

More Oil Alignments 5/27/09 – Click To Enlarge”

Comments (2) May 27 2009

Oil Alignments And Possible Top

Posted: under Commodities, Predictions.
Tags:

Oil is showing alignments with several past highs/lows/spikes and may be topping here. The rally off the low can be counted as a complete three waves.

Oil Alignments 5/13/09

Oil Alignments 5/13/09 – Click To Enlarge”

Comments (2) May 14 2009

Prediction Is Very Difficult, Especially About The Future – Niels Bohr

Posted: under Misc/Admin, Predictions, Stocks.
Tags:

Predicting the future, we are told, is hard, so how have I done in the six months I have been writing this blog? The chart summarizes each stock market prediction, except a couple of ambivalent posts I have omitted for clarity.

Prediction track record Nov 2008 - May 2009

Prediction track record Nov 2008 – May 2009 – Click To Enlarge”

Comments (1) May 12 2009

Gold Spirals Update

Posted: under Commodities, Predictions.
Tags:

Gold’s high on Tuesday May 5th, 2009 does align with several recent turning points, and has not been exceeded as of late Wednesday California time so this strengthens the near term bearish case.

Gold spirals backwards from May 5th 2009

Comments (0) May 06 2009

Rally Topping

Posted: under Predictions, Stocks.

Back in January I noted the curious spiral alignments running backwards and forwards from October 23rd, 2006, and called out May 7th as the next date in this series. Now that we are here the market looks very toppy after an almost unbroken rally since the March 6th low. A turn lower is likely, although it’s an open question whether this would be the end of primary wave 2 or just A of 2. I tend to prefer the latter, as a two month rally is hardly enough to correct the 18 month decline from the all time high, and the price so far falls short of the previous fourth wave.

The next date in this interesting series is January 15, 2010, a date that has a several long term spiral alignments including f28 from 6/19/1964.

The first chart is spiral alignments running forward from Oct 23rd, 2006 with the f16 spiral falling on May 7th 2009 and good alignments for f8, f10, f12, f13, f14, and f15.

Spiral alignments running forwards from 10/23/06 to 5/7/09

The second chart is spiral alignments running backwards from May 7th 2009. f12 and f14 show alignments with prior highs.

Spiral Alignments Ru8nning Backwards From 5/7/09

Comments (4) May 06 2009