September 2009 Spiral Calendar Dates

Posted: under Predictions, Spiraldate Score Charts, Stocks.
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I am trying a different way of presenting the spiral alignments for September using a chart that shows a score calculated for each day based on the spirals on that day, the day before and day after. The formula is trivial – 1 point for each spiral calendar alignment from a previous high or low gives a base score for each date. Then the score is smoothed a bit by adding half of the scores from the preceding and following days. The red line is this evenly weighted smoothed score. The green and blue lines give more and less weight to long and short term spirals. The green line is long term weighted, and the blue line is short-term weighted. I have a hunch, but at this point it’s no more than that, that spirals are fractal like markets, and so short term trend changes are more aligned with short term spirals, and similarly long term trend changes more aligned with long term spirals. I have also plotted the full and new moons on the 4th and 18th respectively. Conclusions from this chart:

  • Possibly a long term trend change around the 5th-6th which falls on the weekend. Maybe one last push higher into Friday 4th will finish the bear market rally from the March 6th low? However I have predicted that top prematurely several times already!
  • Another candidate for a turn around the 15th-17th – too soon to form an opinion on direction, but it falls a couple of days before the new moon that Chris Carolan has identified as the time autumn panics tend to bottom. I doubt we will have a much of a panic since at worst this can be the end of wave 1 of some degree.
  • The short term alignments point to a short term turn at the end of the month around the 25th.

Stocks – SPX – (Corrected Chart – Previous Version Had New and Full Moons Reversed)

Spiral Calendar Daily Scores For September, 2009

Comments (4) Aug 30 2009

Some Kind Of Low Likely

Posted: under Predictions, Stocks.

Several short and medium term spirals align with lows today and tomorrow – f4, f5, f7, f9, f10, f11. So the dip that started on Tuesday may be over or nearly so and then the question is was that wave a of a corrective three or will it be up, up, and away again. Click the chart for a full res version.

Stocks – SPX

Spiral Calendar alignments for SPX for Thursday August 27th, 2009

Comments (3) Aug 27 2009

Broken Record – Another Top?

Posted: under Predictions, Stocks.

I’m beginning to sound like a broken record endlessly repeating the same forecast (skipping CD for those of you too young to remember vinyl). Again we got the turn lower as expected but again it proved to be a false summit. Short term spirals are aligned again today, and the reversal day and bearish gravestone doji candle are all compatible with a top. Click the chart for a full res version.

Stocks – SPX

Spiral Calendar alignments for SPX for Monday August 24th, 2009

Comments (0) Aug 24 2009

One Last Push Higher?

Posted: under Predictions, Stocks.

We got the turn lower as expected in my last stocks post but there is an even more interesting spiral alignment this Friday 8/14/2009 that involves almost all the highs and lows during the decline from the 2007 high. f15, f14, f13, and f10 are all within a day or two of aligning with Friday, which raises the possibility of a push higher into a high on that date.

Stocks – SPX

Spiral Calendar alignments for SPX for Friday August 14th, 2009

Comments (0) Aug 12 2009

Gold Is Ripe

Posted: under Commodities, Predictions.
Tags: , ,

Gold is ripe for a short sale. Spiral calendar dates matching several previous highs and lows including the f17 spiral (see second chart) that matches the top of the May 12th, 2006 price spike fall between Tuesday and Friday this week.

Gold – Short Term Spirals

Short Term Spiral Calendar alignments for Gold for August 4th-7th, 2009

Gold – Medium Term Spirals

Medium Term Spiral Calendar alignments for Gold for August 4th-7th, 2009

Comments (0) Aug 05 2009

Fifth Wave?

Posted: under Predictions, Stocks.

The July 23rd top I predicted was but a brief pause, perhaps a wave 3 top in which case we are due for a fifth wave top that should bring more of a turn. Short term spirals are aligned right now, however if we are just finishing A of a rally from July 8th we are due for wave B. The alternatives are that we are finishing wave A of the rally from the March 6th low, or possibly the entire rally from March 6th since we are sitting conveniently close to the prior fourth wave high. None of the alternatives seem much better than the others, so we expect a turn lower of some sort, but wait to be shown by the market whether it’s large or small degree.

Stocks – SPX

Spiral Calendar alignments for SPX for August 4th, 2009

Comments (0) Aug 04 2009