October 2010 Spiral Calendar Score Chart

Posted: under Predictions, Spiraldate Score Charts, Stocks.

Spiral Calendar Daily Scores For October, 2010

OCTOBER: This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks in. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August, and February.
Mark Twain – Pudd’nhead Wilson’s Calendar

October spiral calendar predictions show four peaks/potential turn dates counting the initial 3.5 score on the 1st as a peak and the 8th/9th/10th, 15th/16th, and 25th October, 2010 as the others.

For September the major prediction for a turn on the 12th did not pan out. If anything, it’s closer to the midpoint of the rise since the end of August.

Explanation for new visitors: See June 2010 Post.

Comments (7) Sep 28 2010

Spiral Calendar Stock Charts For September 24th, 2010

Posted: under Commodities, Forex, Predictions, Stocks.
Tags: , ,

The various September turn signals that have been shown on this site have all proved premature so far, although looking back just prior to the April 26th high we see some similar signals. We anticipate the next turn lower will be one worth waiting for.

I am starting with a chart of UUP showing the weakness in the US Dollar that is a key to many markets. A turn in the US Dollar will likely coincide with turns in many other markets. The short term spirals drawn from the August low and high respectively align with next Tuesday 9/28/2010 as a likely short term (and maybe longer term) turn date.

Stock markets – Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 – all have potential turn dates late next week, as does Gold.
Note the spiral calendar grid for the Gold chart runs backwards from today 9/24/2010, and shows plenty of alignments a few days before past highs and lows. This coincides with a likely turn date around October 1st, 2010 – Friday next week.

I recommend clicking on each chart to see the enlarged version as browsers tend to do awful things to shrunken images, such as remove price bars entirely.

UUP – US Dollar

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For UUP - US Dollar for September 24th, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For UUP – US Dollar for September 24th, 2010 – click to enlarge

Dow

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For DJIA for September 24th, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Dow Jones Industrial Average for September 24th, 2010 – click to enlarge

S&P 500

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For S&P 500 for September 24th, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For S&P 500 for September 24th, 2010 – click to enlarge

Nasdaq-100

Update 9/18/2010: the original ^NDX chart linked to the previous week’s enlarged version – this has been corrected.

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Nasdaq-100 for September 24th, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Nasdaq-100 for September 24th, 2010 – click to enlarge

Gold – GLD

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Gold (GLD) for September 24th, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Gold (GLD) for September 24th, 2010 – click to enlarge

New visitors: please see this post for a brief explanation of the spiral calendar.

Comments (0) Sep 24 2010

^NSEI NIFTY 50, TLT 20 Year T-Bond, and NASDAQ-100 Update

Posted: under Predictions, Stocks.

By request here is a chart for S&P CNX Nifty 50 (^NSEI) from the late 2008 top, with a blue spiral calendar grid drawn from that top, and a red grid drawn from the spring high (May 2nd I think). There are two consecutive spiral turn dates coming up in about a week around 9/29-9/30/2010 that may be a high.

The second chart of TLT the 20-year T-bond ETF is interesting as it sports a large turn date signal today, 9/23/2010. Spiral grids drawn from the early April low (red) and the May 6th flash crash spike high (blue).

The last chart is a NASDAQ-100 update that has a couple of turn dates over the last couple of days. Is this the long overdue wave 2 top?

I recommend clicking on each chart to see the enlarged version as browsers tend to do awful things to shrunken images, such as remove price bars entirely.

S&P CNX Nifty (^NSEI)

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For S&P CNX Nifty (^NSEI) for September 23rd, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For S&P CNX Nifty (^NSEI) for September 23rd, 2010 – click to enlarge

TLT 20 Year T-Bond

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For TLT 20 Year T-Bond for September 23rd, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For TLT 20 Year T-Bond for September 23rd, 2010 – click to enlarge

Nasdaq-100

Update 9/18/2010: the original ^NDX chart linked to the previous week’s enlarged version – this has been corrected.

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Nasdaq-100 for September 23rd, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Nasdaq-100 for September 23rd, 2010 – click to enlarge

New visitors: please see this post for a brief explanation of the spiral calendar.

Comments (1) Sep 23 2010

Oil Update September 17th, 2010

Posted: under Commodities, Misc/Admin, Past Market Analysis, Predictions.
Tags:

Our last oil post showed a turn date for Sept. 13th which turned out to mark a turn lower. In fact the oil price could easily break down from here and lead other markets lower as economic weakness and deflation start to gain hold. There are no further turn dates showing for the next 10 trading days. I have chosen spiral grids running forwards from the February 19th, 2009 low (red grid) and the subsequent low on April 21st, 2009 (blue grid). As you can see the recent turn lower is aligned F14 – 2 days from the February 19, 2009 low.

Oil – USO – Spiral Calendar Chart Sept 17th 2010

Oil - USO - Sept 13th Turn Is Spiral Calendar F14 From The February 2009 Low

Oil – USO – Sept 13th Turn Is Spiral Calendar F14 From The February 2009 Low – click to enlarge

Comments (0) Sep 18 2010

Spiral Calendar Stock Charts For September 17th, 2010

Posted: under Commodities, Predictions, Stocks.
Tags:

The top predicted for Sept. 12th in the September monthly spiraldates score post has proved elusive so far, although there is a secondary score peak for tomorrow Saturday Sept. 18th, which also happens to be Yom Kippur, a classic seasonal sell date.

The spiral calendar grids drawn this week run forwards from the April 26th high (blue grid) and the flash crash on May 6th (red grid). The latter’s F8 spiral date aligns with Sept. 18th tomorrow.

Gold has an alignment F14 right now with the February 2009 initial high which may indicate a Gold high is near also.

I recommend clicking on each chart to see the enlarged version as browsers tend to do awful things to shrunken images, such as remove price bars entirely.

Dow

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For DJIA for September 17th, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Dow Jones Industrial Average for September 17th, 2010 – click to enlarge

S&P 500

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For S&P 500 for September 17th, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For S&P 500 for September 17th, 2010 – click to enlarge

Nasdaq-100

Update 9/18/2010: the original ^NDX chart linked to the previous week’s enlarged version – this has been corrected.

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Nasdaq-100 for September 17th, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Nasdaq-100 for September 17th, 2010 – click to enlarge

Gold – GLD

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Gold (GLD) for September 17th, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Gold (GLD) for September 17th, 2010 – click to enlarge

New visitors: please see this post for a brief explanation of the spiral calendar.

Comments (0) Sep 17 2010

Spiral Calendar Stock Charts For September 10th, 2010

Posted: under Commodities, Predictions, Stocks.

As predicted in the September monthly spiraldates score post, things are just beginning to line up nicely with the Sept. 12th predicted turn date for a turn lower either at today’s marginal highs in some markets or possibly with a push higher Monday. Volume is very weak, and the intraday chart for the last few days looks like a perfect ending diagonal five waves. However there is room for a little more upside. Gold is also showing some good alignments at Wednesday’s high which may turn out to be more than just a short term top.

The spiral calendar grid drawn this week runs backwards from today and most of the spirals are at or just a day or two shy of good alignments with prior market turning points.

I recommend clicking on each chart to see the enlarged version as browsers tend to do awful things to shrunken images, such as remove price bars entirely.

Dow

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For DJIA for September 10th, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Dow Jones Industrial Average for September 10th, 2010 – click to enlarge

S&P 500

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For S&P 500 for September 10th, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For S&P 500 for September 10th, 2010 – click to enlarge

Nasdaq-100

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Nasdaq-100 for September 10th, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Nasdaq-100 for September 10th, 2010 – click to enlarge

Gold – GLD

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Gold (GLD) for September 10th, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Gold (GLD) for September 10th, 2010 – click to enlarge

New visitors: please see this post for a brief explanation of the spiral calendar.

Comments (0) Sep 10 2010

Spiral Calendar Perspective On The US Dollar (UUP)

Posted: under Forex, Past Market Analysis.

US Dollar – UUP – Spiral Calendar Alignments Since Last November’s Low

The first US Dollar/UUP chart shows two forward-running spiral calendar grids from the November 25th, 2009 low (blue lines) and the subsequent low on January 14, 2010 (red lines). The blue spirals mostly align within one day with lows during the ascent to the top (blue F1, F5, F7, F8, F9) while blue F4 and F6 align with highs. Blue F10 aligns with a low after the top and F11 is imminent early next week. The red spiral grid originating on January 14th 2010 aligns with highs (red F1, F3, F4, F5, and F10) and lows (red F6, F7, F8 and F9).

Spiral Calendar alignments for US Dollar/UUP From 11/25/2009 and 1/14/2010

Spiral Calendar alignments for US Dollar/UUP From 11/25/2009 and 1/14/2010 – click to enlarge

US Dollar – UUP – Recent Spiral Calendar Alignments

An adjacent high and low later in the ascent are a good pair to study more recent spiral alignments. The blue grid originating on the March 25th, 2010 high aligns with each high in the ascent to the top (blue F1, F3, & F4) and the lows immediately before and after the June 7th, 2010 top (blue F5, F6) while blue F7 marks a high on the descent and blue F8 is within two days of the lowest point since the June 7th top on August 6th. The red grid drawn from the April 14th low aligns with highs including the June 7th top (red F1, F3, F4), and also with highs and lows after the top (red F5, F6, F7, F8) although the latter are less precise and significant.

The overall spiral predictions for the next 10 trading days contain two potential turn dates, the first, potentially a low given the Elliott Wave expectation for a wave 2 or a of 2 low, on Tuesday or Wednesday next week and the subsequent one late the following week.

Spiral Calendar Alignments For US Dollar (UUP) Forward From March 25th and April 14th, 2010

Spiral Calendar Alignments For US Dollar (UUP) Forward From March 25th and April 14th, 2010 – click to enlarge

UPDATE – US Dollar – UUP – Triangulating The June 2010 Top

Here is another chart that shows two sets of spirals aligned with the June 7th, 2010 top. The blue grid originating on the November 5th, 2008 low immediately after the late October 2008 top is exactly F14 with the June 7th 2010 top. It also picks out several lows (blue F3, F4, F7, F8) and highs (blue F1, F5, F6, F10, F11, F13). The red grid originating on the March 9th, 2009 top is exactly F13 with the June 7th 2010 top. It also picks out several lows (red F6, F8, F10) and highs (red F1, F3, F4, F5, F12, F13).

Spiral Calendar Alignments For US Dollar (UUP) Forward From November 5th 2008 and March 9th, 2009

Spiral Calendar Alignments For US Dollar (UUP) Forward From November 5th 2008 and March 9th, 2009 – click to enlarge

Comments (0) Sep 04 2010

Spiral Calendar Stock Charts For September 3rd, 2010

Posted: under Commodities, Misc/Admin, Predictions, Stocks.
Tags:

As usual, the market is smarter than almost everyone and especially smarter than me! I was convinced until Wednesday morning that we were going lower, but the seasonals won out and we are having another sharp rally to shake out the bears before the big decline. There are turn dates aligning now in all the charts so we could be close to a high at Friday’s close. Whether any such high if it develops is a wave A of something implying plenty more sideways to up price action before a tradeable top or a wave C of something implying lower prices immediately ahead is open to debate.

The blue vertical lines show a spiral calendar grid aligned running forwards from the April 26th, 2010 high. Blue F8 falls on Sept 8th which is shown on the chart as Sept 6th, which would be the first trading day next week except the US markets are closed for the Labor Day holiday. Weekends and holidays are accounted for in the horizontal chart scale over the entire year but the vertical spiral lines can be off up to 2 days due to weekends and holidays in circumstances like this weekend. This week the red vertical lines show a spiral calendar grid running forward from the high immediately after the Flash Crash on May 13th, 2010. Red F5, F6, and F7, and maybe also F4 are good alignments.

I am including a Gold chart this week both to illustrate some previous spiral alignments, but also because it has potential turn dates immediately ahead. See the comments just above the chart.

I recommend clicking on each chart to see the enlarged version as browsers tend to do awful things to shrunken images, such as remove price bars entirely.

Dow

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For DJIA for September 3rd, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Dow Jones Industrial Average for September 3rd, 2010 – click to enlarge

S&P 500

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For S&P 500 for September 3rd, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For S&P 500 for September 3rd, 2010 – click to enlarge

Nasdaq-100

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Nasdaq-100 for September 3rd, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Nasdaq-100 for September 3rd, 2010 – click to enlarge

Gold – GLD

Gold has 3 possible turn dates in a row next week and into the following week. These are indicated by the small red bars to the right of the price chart that show possible turns over the next 10 trading days. I also show two individual spiral grids – the red one below the prices originates on the February 5th, 2010 low and shows good alignments for at least F5 through F9 and has F10 coming up on Sept 12th, which is the major potential turn date for stocks also. The blue grid is drawn forward starting from the June 28th high. It has one major alignment so far at F1. Blue F6 is also coming up but not until Sept 20th.

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Gold (GLD) for September 3rd, 2010

Spiral Calendar Turn Dates Chart For Gold (GLD) for September 3rd, 2010 – click to enlarge

New visitors: please see this post for a brief explanation of the spiral calendar.

Comments (1) Sep 03 2010

The Great Bear Market In Oil – A Spiral Calendar Perspective

Posted: under Commodities, Past Market Analysis.

The first chart shows two forward-running spiral calendar grids superimposed on the oil market decline (USO). The top blue vertical lines are spiral dates aligned with the all time top on July 11th, 2008. The lower red vertical lines are spiral dates aligned with the corrective high on August 21st, 2008 which also happens to be close to F3 from the July 11th top. As you can see most of the peaks and valleys during the price decline align with a spiral date from one or both of these grids. We can draw other grids forward from other post-top highs or lows to pick out virtually every single high and low within about 1 day.

Oil – USO – Spiral Calendar Alignments During The Decline

Spiral Calendar alignments for Oil/USO forwards from  July 11th, 2008 and Aug 21st, 2008

Spiral Calendar alignments for Oil/USO forwards from July 11th, 2008 and Aug 21st, 2008 – click to enlarge

Oil – USO – Spiral Calendar Alignments During 2010

More recently a high on December 1st 2009 and the immediately following low on December 11th, 2009 combine grids to pick out a high percentage of subsequent highs and lows in the 2010 market within a day or two.
The blue vertical lines are dates aligned with Dec 1st, 2009, and the red ones are aligned with Dec 11th, 2009.
Spiral Calendar alignments for Oil/USO forwards from  Dec 1st, 2009 and Dec 11th, 2009

Spiral Calendar alignments for Oil/USO forwards from Dec 1st, 2009 and Dec 11th, 2009 – click to enlarge

Comments (1) Sep 01 2010