July 2013 Spiraldates.com Spiral Calendar Scores Chart

Posted: under Misc/Admin, Spiraldate Score Charts, Stocks.

Spiral Calendar Daily Scores For US Stocks For July 2013

July 2013 spiral calendar prediction show four turning points around July 4th, 11-12th, 19th, and 26th. Turning points can mark stock market highs or lows. Given the seasonal positive bias immediately prior to holidays and the rally off the June 24th low, July 4th may be a top and possibly the start of a wave 3 of 3 down.

June turning points on the 8th, 14th, and 22nd were a good match for the actual turning points – especially the last.

Note that gray dots indicate weekends and the red square denotes the Fourth of July holiday in the US.
Explanation for new visitors: See June 2010 Post.

Comments (5) Jun 29 2013

Spiraldates.com Crash Watch

Posted: under Stocks.

Current Market Compared To Past Crashes

I think it may be too soon after the May 22nd top for a major crash like the 1929 and 1987 crashes that took the market down 20% in a day or two. But you never know – this chart compares these past markets with the current (S&P 500) taking the high close in each market prior to each crash as a y-value of 1.0 and scaling other closing prices accordingly. You can see that 1929 and 1987 each lost about 35% in as many trading days, for an average decline of around 1%/day for two solid months. But about half of each of the 1929 and 1987 declines came in the last day or two prior to the crash bottom.

Update: Here is an article that gives a crash warning and explains the market dynamics that are at work and why a crash is much more likely now. The first part of the article is free, but the second part requires enrollment/payment.

Comments (5) Jun 20 2013