September 2009 Spiral Calendar Dates

Posted: August 30th, 2009 under Predictions, Spiraldate Score Charts, Stocks.
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I am trying a different way of presenting the spiral alignments for September using a chart that shows a score calculated for each day based on the spirals on that day, the day before and day after. The formula is trivial – 1 point for each spiral calendar alignment from a previous high or low gives a base score for each date. Then the score is smoothed a bit by adding half of the scores from the preceding and following days. The red line is this evenly weighted smoothed score. The green and blue lines give more and less weight to long and short term spirals. The green line is long term weighted, and the blue line is short-term weighted. I have a hunch, but at this point it’s no more than that, that spirals are fractal like markets, and so short term trend changes are more aligned with short term spirals, and similarly long term trend changes more aligned with long term spirals. I have also plotted the full and new moons on the 4th and 18th respectively. Conclusions from this chart:

  • Possibly a long term trend change around the 5th-6th which falls on the weekend. Maybe one last push higher into Friday 4th will finish the bear market rally from the March 6th low? However I have predicted that top prematurely several times already!
  • Another candidate for a turn around the 15th-17th – too soon to form an opinion on direction, but it falls a couple of days before the new moon that Chris Carolan has identified as the time autumn panics tend to bottom. I doubt we will have a much of a panic since at worst this can be the end of wave 1 of some degree.
  • The short term alignments point to a short term turn at the end of the month around the 25th.

Stocks – SPX – (Corrected Chart – Previous Version Had New and Full Moons Reversed)

Spiral Calendar Daily Scores For September, 2009

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4 Comments »

  1. this is very helpful. thanks!

    Comment by bill — August 30, 2009 @ 8:44 pm

  2. Hi,

    I also wanted to thank you for the SC turn dates in this format. This seems to be a very interesting point in time, this weekend. I am not sure what is going to happen next week, but if I can get a sense of direction, I will follow it. Both the US$ and crude are on very significant trendlines. If they get violated, it would also mean a sharp move for stocks. Something is in the air and we will know soon. All the more important to see the SC dates here.

    Joerg

    Comment by Joe — September 4, 2009 @ 7:53 pm

  3. […] reversal after the market gave a head fake higher on the Fed commentary marking wave 5. While the spiraldate score is not at a peak, there are enough short – medium term spirals aligned to make the top more […]

    Pingback by Anonymous — September 23, 2009 @ 8:44 pm

  4. […] Last month I started using a chart that shows a score calculated for each day based on the spirals on that day, the day before and day after. The formula is trivial – 1 point for each spiral calendar alignment from a previous high or low gives a base score for each date. Then the score is smoothed a bit by adding half of the scores from the preceding and following days. The red line is this evenly weighted smoothed score. The green and blue lines give more and less weight to long and short term spirals. The green line is long term weighted, and the blue line is short-term weighted. October predictions (above chart) look similar to September with two major peaks in the Spiraldate score. Dates to watch for turns in October are 7th-8th, 11th-12th, and 24th-25th. Assuming the Elliott Wave primary wave 2 top is in on 9/23/2009, we expect a sharp decline, possibly with a third wave low near the peak on 11th-12th October, and the fifth wave low around the 15th-16th a couple of days before the new moon on the 18th. If that plays out we expect a corrective rally into the 25th-26th peak. If on the other hand the market rallies from the 9/25/2009 low, again we would expect the top of a strong move around the 11th-12th. So how did we do with the September predictions? We had a low on 9/2/2009 coinciding with a minor high in the spiraldate score. The first main peak on 9/6/2009 fell in the middle of an advance, but the second peak on 9/17/2009 coincided with what we assume is a third wave top. Finally the top on 9/23/2009 doesn’t match a major peak in the score – there is only a minor peak on 9/22/2009 and it’s too soon to tell if the spiraldate score peak on 9/25/2009 will mark a low. So overall a mixed bag, but the largest spiraldate score peak hit the top of the strongest advance on the nose. […]

    Pingback by October 2009 Spiral Calendar Dates — September 27, 2009 @ 9:27 am

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